The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between -1.5 to -1.3, indicating severe drought (D2) conditions. A multi-agency partnership that coordinates drought monitoring, forecasting, planning, and information at national, state, and local scales. The Southern Plains regionencompassing Texas, Oklahoma, southern Kansas, and western New Mexicois characterized by climate extremes. Published March 30, 2022 at 11:00 AM CDT U.S. Drought Monitor / The latest drought map for conditions as of March 2022 shows some contraction and easing of drought in the Panhandle and East. Compared to "normal" conditions, current evaporative demand is forecast to be in the bottom0%to 2% of historical values (i.e., less than 2% of previous values had lower evaporative demand). This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. There is an 50%60% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period. 40%50% Chance of Below Normal West Texas farmers and ranchers fear the worst as drought, heat near 2011 records 2011 was the driest year on record for Texas, causing an estimated cost of $7.62 billion in crop and livestock losses. There is an 80%90% chanceof below-normal precipitation during this period. Stick with KVUE for the latest on this developing forecast. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. Red hues indicate drier conditions, while blue hues indicate wetter conditions. Sustained Winds. This map shows the moisture content of the top 20 cm of soil compared to historical conditions, based onin situ (in the ground) measurements of soil moisture. The PMDI value for this location is -2.9 to -2.0, indicating moderate drought (D1) conditions. There is a >90% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period. Near-Normal There is an 50%60% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. 16.9% since last week 33rd wettest May on record (since 1895) 4.2 in. There is an 33%40% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period. 33%40% Chance of Above Normal Stacker cited data from U.S. Drought Monitor to identify the counties in Texas with the worst droughts in the week leading up to July 05, 2023. Light to moderate totals are expected over most of the middle and lower Mississippi Valley, the mid-Atlantic Region, the Great Lakes Region, and the Ohio Valley, and portions of Peninsular Florida. Moderate Drought (D1) is the first of four drought categories (D1D4), according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. View typical impacts by state. The Quantitative Precipitation Forecast maps on Drought.gov are updated once a day and are valid from 7 a.m. Eastern that day. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between3040F. There is an 33%40% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period. 40%50% Chance of Above Normal There is an 60%70% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. According to these indices, current conditions are wetter than 90% to 95% of past conditions. Learn more about these categories. Compared to "normal" conditions, evaporative demand is forecast to be greater than 98% to 100% of historical values. Precipitation was 75% to 100% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020. There is an 80%90% chanceof above-normal temperatures during this period. Lake Travis is now at 43% and Lake Buchanan is at 58%. Every Thursday, authors from NOAA, USDA, and the National Drought Mitigation Center produce a new map based on their assessments of the best available data and input from local observers. Temperatures should average closer to normal elsewhere, with slightly cooler than normal conditions expected over and near the greater Ohio Valley and the adjacent interior Southeast. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. Next Seasonal Drought Outlook Issued: July 20, 2023 at 8:30 AM EDT. 68F Below Normal Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. The Climate Prediction Center issues its Monthly Drought Outlooks on the last day of the calendar month. Learn more about these categories. Compared to "normal" conditions, current evaporative demand is forecast to be in the bottom 10%to 20% of historical values (i.e., only 10%20% of previous values had lower evaporative demand). There is a >90% chanceof below-normal temperatures during this period. 34F Below Normal The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between -1.9 to -1.6, indicating extreme drought (D3) conditions. Drought Persists The PMDI value for this location is 4.0 to 4.9, indicating extreme wet (W3) conditions. There is an 33%40% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period. 33%40% Chance of Above Normal There is an 40%50% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period. 50%60% Chance of Above Normal Texas Drought Map for May 30, 2023; Texas Drought Map for May 23, 2023; Texas Drought Map for May 16, 2023; Drought Monitor Maps For Neighboring States and Provinces: Related Texas Maps: Drought Conditions for Texas Cities and Towns. This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. Texas drought reaches 10-year peak, Austin heat reaches July record The PMDI value for this location is -4.9 to -4.0, indicating extreme drought (D3) conditions. In 2011, NOAAs National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) launched the Southern Plains Drought Early Warning System (DEWS) to meet the diverse needs of stakeholders who needed information on drought conditions and the forecasted outlook, but often on different spatial and temporal scales. Individual states and water supply planning may use additional information to inform their declarations and actions. D4 (SPI of -2.0 or less) from normal Learn More About These Stats Current Texas Drought Maps View the latest drought-related news, upcoming events, and recordings and summaries of past webinars. Learn more. There is an 60%70% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period. 50%60% Chance of Below Normal SJT RSS Feed A selection of tools to help predict changes in temperature, precipitation, soil moisture, and more. >90% Chance of Below Normal Hot weather returns next week with triple digit high temperatures While we are officially in an El Nio pattern, its full effects will not be felt until this coming fall and winter when we expect it to be cooler and wetter than average, which should alleviate the drought situation, possibly entirely. Weather.gov > San Angelo, TX . Drought Monitor - Water Data For Texas Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. Southern Plains Drought Status Updates The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between 0.8 to 1.2, indicating moderate wet (W1) conditions. Exceptional Drought (98th100th Percentile) This location received more than 8 inches of precipitation during this 7-day period. What are the biggest concerns for Texans? Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls betweenthe 5thto 10th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. Water Data For Texas Estimated streamflow is in the 10th25th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. Heat Wave and Poor Air Quality Persist. This location receivedmore than 8 inches of precipitation during this 7-day period. There is an 70%80% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period. 80%90% Chance of Above Normal Moderate Drought Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. Odds for significantly above-normal temperatures exceed 70 percent in a large area encompassing the eastern Great Basin, central and southern Rockies, and most of the Plains from central North Dakota southward into central Texas. Green/blue shades indicate above-normal precipitation, while brown shades indicate below-normal precipitation. Drought/dryness has improved by 1 category, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. There is an 80%90% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. There has been no change in drought conditions at this location. There is an 40%50% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period. 33%40% Chance of Below Normal The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between 0.5 to 0.7, indicating abnormally wet (W0) conditions. There is an 60%70% chanceof above-normal temperatures during this period. This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. Farther east, moderate to heavy rains may fall on and near the Gulf and Southeast Coasts, and a few areas scattered across northern Pennsylvania, central and northeastern New York, and western New England. Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 90th to 95th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. Drought Alert Emails Learn more about these categories. This location received 24 inches of precipitation during this 7-day period. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between -1.2 to -0.8, indicating moderate drought (D1) conditions. (in the ground) measurements of soil moisture. The subtropical area of high pressure known as a "heat dome" will shift off back to the west, toward the Four Corners region and the Rocky Mountains, weakening as it does. Estimated streamflow is in the 25th75th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. Drought results from an imbalance between water supply and water demand. There is an 50%60% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period. 60%70% Chance of Above Normal 34F Above Normal Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 5th to 10th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. 10th20th Percentile U.S. Geological Survey, U.S. Drought Monitor. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between 8090F. Texas Drought Conditions Interactive Web Map July 18, 2023 - Plantmaps Another 9% is classified as "abnormally dry". There is an 70%80% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period. 60%70% Chance of Below Normal Reach out to Joel Lisonbee, the Regional Drought Coordinator for this region, for more information, or sign up for the Southern Plains DEWS newsletter. This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. Due to differences in observed conditions and statistical models, reliable forecasts for temperate regions may not be attainable for a season or more in advance(, Anomalies in precipitation and temperature may last from several months to several decades, and how long they last can depend on airsea interactions, soil moisture, land surface processes, topography, and weather systems at the global scale(, Teleconnections, such as ENSO and La Nia events, are atmospheric interactions between widely separated regions. This has been the driest start to summer since 1980 and there is no rain in the forecast in the week ahead. According to the latest data, much of Central Texas has regressed into "extreme" drought as we are in the midst of the driest stretch of the year on average. The National Weather Service (NWS) Climate Prediction Center (CPC) produces monthly and seasonal drought outlooks based on Soil Moisture (CAS). Smoke from the Canadian wildfires will continue to bring poor air quality to parts of the Northern and Central U.S. into the East. There is an 70%80% chanceof above-normal temperatures during this period. Odds favor near-normal temperatures during this period. Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 20thto 30th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. W2 (PMDI of 4.0 to 4.9) The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) measures water supply, specifically precipitation. During this time period, drought removal is forecast. Learn more about these categories. There is an 70%80% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period. 80%90% Chance of Above Normal During this time period, drought is forecast to persist. Failure of winter wheat and summer crops during 2011 resulted in shortages of food for cattle, which forced farmers to purchase large amounts of hay or sell their herds. Houston could see record-breaking heat as heat dome shifts closer The average maximum temperature was01F colder than normal for this location. Get timely updates on local drought conditions, outlooks, and impacts from NIDIS and its partners. Why a strong La Nia this fall could mean bad news for Austin and Texas A quarter of the state of Texas has been experiencing exceptional drought - the most extreme level of drought - and suddenly, the skies have opened up above the Lone Star State, nearly wiping . Seasonal Drought Outlook, NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information | Drought Termination and Amelioration, NOAA National Weather Service | Graphical Forecast Interactive Map, NOAA | Quarterly Impacts and Outlooks Reports, U.S. Geological Survey | Streamflow Forecast Maps, USDA | State Water Supply Outlook Reports for Western United States, Improving NOAA Climate Prediction Center Drought Outlook Products and Services, An Objective Seasonal Drought Outlook for the Coterminous United States, Forecasts of National Fire Danger Rating System (NFDRS) Fire Danger Indices, Collaborative Research: Toward Operational Predictions of Persistent Drought Driven by Multi-Year La Nia, Developing an Automated Weekly Probabilistic and Categorical Drought Outlook Based on U.S. Drought Monitor and Ensemble Prediction, Investigating the Role of Perceptions about Drought Information and Forecast Accuracy in Midwest Rainfed Agricultural Decision Making. There is an 60%70% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period. 50%60% Chance of Below Normal Learn more about these categories. No Change Learn more about these categories. During this time period, drought removal is forecast. Precipitation was only 0% to 25% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020. Evaporation Forecast. View typical impacts by state. During this time period, drought removal is forecast. In response to the devastating drought in the 1950s, water planners doubled the number of reservoirs in Texas. Spring outlook: Will drought conditions in South Texas get worse? 2030F Odds favor near-normal precipitation during this period. This map shows the probability (percent chance) of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal temperature 8 to 14 days in the future. Severe Weather Outlook For Texas - National Weather Service Estimated streamflow is in the 10th25th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. W1 (PMDI of 2.0 to 2.9) The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between -1.5 to -1.3, indicating severe drought (D2) conditions. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. There is an 70%80% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period. 60%70% Chance of Below Normal July 18, 2023 Forecast highs Tuesday across Texas. Compared to "normal" conditions, current evaporative demand is forecast to be in the bottom 20% to 30% of historical values (i.e., only 20%30% of previous values had lower evaporative demand). Learn more about these categories. 6070F There is an 33%40% chanceof below-normal precipitation during this period. Weather Forecast Office. A number of physical indicators are important for monitoring drought, such as precipitation & temperature, water supply (e.g., streamflow, reservoirs), and soil moisture. Due to a university-wide security update, our site's interaction with external pages and images might be affected. Learn more. There is an 60%70% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period. 70%80% Chance of Above Normal